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15 May 2025

EUR/USD breaks below 1.12 as USD rebounds on trade commitment headlines – Danske Bank

EUR/USD slipped below 1.12 as a Bloomberg report helped the USD recover ground, but confidence in the greenback remains fragile ahead of key US data releases, Danske Bank's FX analysts report.

Negative risk premium still weighs on USD despite bounce

"EUR/USD dropped below 1.12, as the broad USD trimmed losses following a Bloomberg report indicating that the US is not pursuing currency-related commitments in trade accords. However, a negative risk premium remains embedded in the USD, which continues to trade meaningfully away from fundamentals and pre-Liberation Day levels, reflecting eroding confidence in the greenback."

"Today's focus turns to a batch of US data, including April retail sales and PPI. Looking ahead, easing tariff developments and stretched short aggregate USD positioning could result in a choppy path toward further USD depreciation."

May 15, 2025

USD: Evidence and speculation weighs on the USD – ING

The dollar is drifting a little lower against major currencies and remains tarnished by April's events. US Treasuries continue to trade on a soft footing, and whether judged against the risk-free SOFR swap rate or German bunds, they have failed to reverse much of the spread widening seen in April.
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May 15, 2025

GBP/USD: Likely to trade in a range between 1.3220 and 1.3320 – UOB Group

Current price action is non-trending; Pound Sterling (GBP) is likely to trade in a range between 1.3220 and 1.3320. In the longer run, buildup in momentum has faded; GBP is likely to trade in a 1.3140/1.3405 range, UOB Group’s FX analysts Quek Ser Leang and Peter Chia note.
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